Do High-Stakes Placement Exams Predict College Success?


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Document Number: 10095

Do High-Stakes Placement Exams Predict College Success? - This paper analyzes one of the most commonly used placement exams, using data on over 42,000 first-time entrants to a large, urban community college system. Using both traditional correlation coefficients and decision-theoretic measures of placement accuracy and error rates, the author finds that placement exams are more predictive of success in math than in English, and more predictive of who is likely to do well in college-level coursework than of who is likely to fail. (CCRC, 2012) ...

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